Barry Town vs Penybont: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Barry Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penybont wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Penybont?
On Elo ratings, Barry Town has 2,007 points and Penybont 1,981.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barry Town vs Penybont
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 9J. Crosbie
- 20E. Dugan
- 2M. George
- 8D. Barton
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 24W. Richards
- 4C. Sainty
- 16J. Lester
- 31G. Ratcliffe
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Penybont have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barry Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Penybont wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont 3-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Penybont 0-2 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Barry Town 1-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Penybont 1-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Barry Town 2-3 Penybont | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Barry Town 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Barry Town on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Penybont | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 6th in Premier League (25 points from 13 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
A question about Barry Town vs Penybont?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Penybont?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Barry Town.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Penybont played?
- Barry Town vs Penybont is played on December 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.