Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Airbus UK. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,750 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK?
On Elo ratings, Caernarfon Town has 1,930 points and Airbus UK 1,918.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 27R. Sears
- 23C. Marriott
- 4J. Piggott
- 1C. Roberts
Airbus UK
4-3-3- 10K. Cooke
- 19Oliver Lancely
- 9J. Parry
- 11G. Peers
- 6Sam Rickett
- 22Sean Moscrop
- 4J. Stevenson
- 8J. Evans
- 12B. Diau
- 23N. Williams
- 1L. Fallon
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Airbus UK have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Caernarfon Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Airbus UK win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Airbus UK 3-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 4-0 Airbus UK | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Airbus UK 0-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Airbus UK 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Airbus UK | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 5-0 Airbus UK | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town on Oct 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Airbus UK score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Airbus UK | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 5th in Premier League (29 points from 16 matches) and Airbus UK sit 4th (30 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Airbus UK | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 29 |
A question about Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Airbus UK.
- Where and when is Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK played?
- Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Oval, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.