Trefelin vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab AI model makes Trefelin the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trefelin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Briton Ferry?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Trefelin (1,797) and Briton Ferry (1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trefelin vs Briton Ferry
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Briton Ferry
4-3-3- 9T. Walters
- 20O. Anderson
- 11C. Hurford
- 8T. Price
- 16M. Bates
- 7R. Owen
- 15L. Cooper
- 2L. Bates
- 3D. Packer
- 18R. George
- 13W. Fuller
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Briton Ferry have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Trefelin wins, 2 draws, 4 Briton Ferry wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry 1-1 Trefelin | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Trefelin 0-2 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Briton Ferry 5-0 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Jan 6, 2023 | Briton Ferry 2-0 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Trefelin 1-4 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Trefelin 2-2 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Briton Ferry vs Trefelin on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 15th in Premier League (6 points from 13 matches) and Briton Ferry sit 11th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Trefelin vs Briton Ferry?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trefelin the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Briton Ferry played?
- Trefelin vs Briton Ferry is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.