Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,708) and Słowianin (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Słowianin have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Słowianin | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin played?
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026ROW RybnikvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 26, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 26, 2026KluczborkvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 26, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSparta Katowice
- Sep 26, 2026Warta GorzówvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 26, 2026Carina GubinvsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 26, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 26, 2026Barycz SułówvsZagłębie Lubin II