Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie SosnowiecSłowianin

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,708) and Słowianin (1,725).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win44 %
Draw25 %
Słowianin win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Słowianin have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carina Gubin(away)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026Tychy 71(away)0-1Cup
Słowianin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026SKRA Częstochowa(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.21.556/158/15
Słowianin1.21.039/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zaglebie Sosnowiec531110510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Słowianin.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin played?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Słowianin is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Słowianin

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