Basingstoke Town vs Havant & Wville: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Havant & Wville. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Havant & Wville?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,716) and Havant & Wville (1,744).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Havant & Wville have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Basingstoke Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Havant & Wville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Havant & Wville 0-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-3 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Havant & Wville 5-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Havant & Wville 2-1 Basingstoke Town | FA Trophy |
| Dec 2, 2013 | Havant & Wville 1-0 Basingstoke Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Havant & Wville sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Havant & Wville?
- The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Havant & Wville.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Havant & Wville played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Havant & Wville is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Taunton TownvsGloucester City
- Jan 23, 2027Frome TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 23, 2027UxbridgevsBerkhamsted
- Jan 23, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanwell Town
- Jan 23, 2027Chichester CityvsSholing
- Jan 23, 2027Poole TownvsGosport Borough
- Jan 23, 2027Wimborne TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Jan 23, 2027Yate TownvsMalvern Town