Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Chichester City (1,753) and Basingstoke Town (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chichester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2021 | Chichester City 0-2 Basingstoke Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Basingstoke Town 2-2 Chichester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town on Jul 31, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chichester City sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chichester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Taunton TownvsChertsey Town
- Nov 21, 2026BerkhamstedvsFrome Town
- Nov 21, 2026UxbridgevsGloucester City
- Nov 21, 2026SholingvsEvesham United
- Nov 21, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 21, 2026Wimborne TownvsBath City
- Nov 21, 2026Yate TownvsHanwell Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chippenham TownvsBracknell Town