Match

Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex

Chichester CityBasingstoke Town

The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Chichester City (1,753) and Basingstoke Town (1,716).

Chichester City win50 %
Draw24 %
Basingstoke Town win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chichester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chippenham Town(home)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Evesham United(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Poole Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Bognor Regis Town(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chichester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2021Chichester City 0-2 Basingstoke TownFriendlies Clubs
Sep 14, 2020Basingstoke Town 2-2 Chichester CityFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town on Jul 31, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chichester City1.51.5310/1510/15
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chichester City sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Chichester City4202656
10Basingstoke Town4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town?
The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town played?
Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chichester City and Basingstoke Town

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