Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,711) and Plymouth Parkway (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Basingstoke Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway 3-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Plymouth Parkway 1-3 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Basingstoke Town on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 20, 2026Wimborne TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 20, 2026UxbridgevsMalvern Town
- Oct 20, 2026Chertsey TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 20, 2026Chichester CityvsBerkhamsted
- Oct 20, 2026Poole TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 20, 2026Yate TownvsSholing
- Oct 20, 2026Bath CityvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 20, 2026Hanworth VillavsChippenham Town