Bath City vs Havant & Wville: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Havant & Wville. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Havant & Wville?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Bath City (1,705) and Havant & Wville (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Havant & Wville have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bath City win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Havant & Wville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Havant & Wville 1-1 Bath City | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Bath City 2-0 Havant & Wville | National League - South |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Bath City 2-0 Havant & Wville | National League - South |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Havant & Wville 2-2 Bath City | National League - South |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Bath City 0-0 Havant & Wville | National League - South |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Havant & Wville 1-3 Bath City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Havant & Wville vs Bath City on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Havant & Wville sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Havant & Wville?
- The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Havant & Wville.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Havant & Wville played?
- Bath City vs Havant & Wville is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 20, 2026Wimborne TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 20, 2026UxbridgevsMalvern Town
- Oct 20, 2026Basingstoke TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Oct 20, 2026Chertsey TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 20, 2026Chichester CityvsBerkhamsted
- Oct 20, 2026Poole TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 20, 2026Yate TownvsSholing
- Oct 20, 2026Hanworth VillavsChippenham Town