Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basingstoke Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,729) and Yate Town (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basingstoke Town
Not enough data to predict the Basingstoke Town lineup.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Yate Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basingstoke Town win, 0 draws, 1 Yate Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Yate Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town on Nov 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (12 points from 11 matches) and Yate Town sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026UxbridgevsFrome Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bracknell TownvsBath City
- Dec 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 12, 2026Chichester CityvsTaunton Town
- Dec 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsWimborne Town
- Dec 12, 2026SholingvsHanworth Villa
- Dec 12, 2026Chippenham TownvsHanwell Town
- Dec 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsGosport Borough