Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,711) and Yate Town (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basingstoke Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Yate Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town on Nov 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026UxbridgevsFrome Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bracknell TownvsBath City
- Dec 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 12, 2026Chichester CityvsTaunton Town
- Dec 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsWimborne Town
- Dec 12, 2026SholingvsHanworth Villa
- Dec 12, 2026Chippenham TownvsHanwell Town
- Dec 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsGosport Borough