Match

Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire

Basingstoke TownYate Town

The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,711) and Yate Town (1,778).

Basingstoke Town win33 %
Draw25 %
Yate Town win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basingstoke Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 25, 2025Yate Town 1-0 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 23, 2025Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town on Nov 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basingstoke Town1.71.7310/1510/15
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
10Basingstoke Town4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town?
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town played?
Basingstoke Town vs Yate Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Basingstoke Town and Yate Town

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