Evesham United vs Wimborne Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Wimborne Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Wimborne Town?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,709) and Wimborne Town (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wimborne Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Evesham United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Wimborne Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Evesham United 2-1 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Wimborne Town 1-1 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Wimborne Town 2-1 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Evesham United 0-0 Wimborne Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Wimborne Town 0-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Evesham United 1-2 Wimborne Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Wimborne Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wimborne Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Wimborne Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Wimborne Town sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Wimborne Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Wimborne Town?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Wimborne Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Wimborne Town played?
- Evesham United vs Wimborne Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026UxbridgevsFrome Town
- Dec 12, 2026Basingstoke TownvsYate Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bracknell TownvsBath City
- Dec 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 12, 2026Chichester CityvsTaunton Town
- Dec 12, 2026SholingvsHanworth Villa
- Dec 12, 2026Chippenham TownvsHanwell Town
- Dec 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsGosport Borough