Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gloucester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Gosport Borough 0-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Gloucester City 4-2 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Gloucester City 2-2 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Gosport Borough 1-3 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Gloucester City 0-2 Gosport Borough | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Gosport Borough 2-2 Gloucester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough played?
- Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026UxbridgevsFrome Town
- Dec 12, 2026Basingstoke TownvsYate Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bracknell TownvsBath City
- Dec 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 12, 2026Chichester CityvsTaunton Town
- Dec 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsWimborne Town
- Dec 12, 2026SholingvsHanworth Villa
- Dec 12, 2026Chippenham TownvsHanwell Town