Bath City vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Poole Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bath City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2014 | Poole Town 0-2 Bath City | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Bath City 1-1 Poole Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Bath City on Sep 30, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Poole Town played?
- Bath City vs Poole Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Havant & WvillevsTaunton Town
- Oct 31, 2026Frome TownvsChichester City
- Oct 31, 2026UxbridgevsYate Town
- Oct 31, 2026Chertsey TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 31, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBracknell Town
- Oct 31, 2026SholingvsMalvern Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHanwell Town
- Oct 31, 2026Wimborne TownvsChippenham Town