Bath City vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poole Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Poole Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,892 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bath City vs Poole Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bath City
Not enough data to predict the Bath City lineup.
Poole Town
Not enough data to predict the Poole Town lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Poole Town have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bath City win, 1 draw, 0 Poole Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2014 | Poole Town 0-2 Bath City | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Bath City 1-1 Poole Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Bath City on Sep 30, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (20 points from 11 matches) and Poole Town sit 1st (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Bath City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
A question about Bath City vs Poole Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Poole Town played?
- Bath City vs Poole Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Havant & WvillevsTaunton Town
- Oct 31, 2026Frome TownvsChichester City
- Oct 31, 2026UxbridgevsYate Town
- Oct 31, 2026Chertsey TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 31, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBracknell Town
- Oct 31, 2026SholingvsMalvern Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHanwell Town
- Oct 31, 2026Wimborne TownvsChippenham Town