Bayern München vs Real Madrid: result 4-3 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München
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What was the result of Bayern München vs Real Madrid?
Bayern München won 4-3 on April 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′A. GülerReal Madrid
- 6′A. PavlovićBayern München
- 29′A. GülerReal Madrid
- 38′H. KaneBayern München
- 42′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 89′L. DíazBayern München
- 90′M. OliseBayern München
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Real Madrid have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 4-0 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bayern München win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Real Madrid 1-2 Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
| May 8, 2024 | Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Bayern München 2-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2019 | Bayern München 3-1 Real Madrid | International Champions Cup |
| May 1, 2018 | Real Madrid 2-2 Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 25, 2018 | Bayern München 1-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Bayern München on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayern München score 3.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 3.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Real Madrid | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayern München sit 2nd in UEFA Champions League (21 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy