Match

SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayern München wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,532 Elo points against 2,217, a 315-point gap.

28%23%49%
SC Freiburg winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 19J. Beste
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 14Y. Suzuki
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Known absences

  • Berkay YilmazDoubtful · Lacking Match Fitness

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 45A. Pavlović
  2. 34I. Saibari
  3. 17M. Olise
  4. 8T. Bischof
  5. 7S. Gnabry
  1. 2D. Upamecano
  2. 27K. Laimer
  3. 44J. Stanišić
  4. 19A. Davies
  1. 40J. Urbig

Known absences

  • J. KimmichOut · Personal Reasons
  • J. MusialaOut · Muscle injury
  • Kim Min-JaeOut · Knee injury
  • L. DíazOut · Muscle injury
  • N. BrownOut · Injured
  • T. BuchmannOut · Knee injury

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:36 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 4 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Monaco(away)0-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Arsenal(home)2-2UEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2026RB Leipzig(home)6-1Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Freiburg wins, 1 draw, 5 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026SC Freiburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Nov 22, 2025Bayern München 6-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jan 25, 2025SC Freiburg 1-2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Sep 1, 2024Bayern München 2-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Mar 1, 2024SC Freiburg 2-2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Oct 8, 2023Bayern München 3-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Bayern München on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg2.81.1410/1513/15
Bayern München3.31.1312/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 3rd in Bundesliga (13 points from 6 matches) and Bayern München sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bayern München642022514
3SC Freiburg641115613

A question about SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Bayern München played?
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC Freiburg and Bayern München

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