Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Bayern München played?

SC Freiburg vs Bayern München is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,519 Elo points against 2,178 — a 340-point gap.

SC Freiburg win21 %

Draw19 %

Bayern München win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Freiburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Bayern München win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	SC Freiburg 2-3 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025	Bayern München 6-2 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Jan 25, 2025	SC Freiburg 1-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Sep 1, 2024	Bayern München 2-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Mar 1, 2024	SC Freiburg 2-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Oct 8, 2023	Bayern München 3-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Bayern München on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (89 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Bayern München played?: SC Freiburg vs Bayern München is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.