Bayreuth vs TSV 1860 München: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, Bayreuth
The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayreuth vs TSV 1860 München?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Bayreuth (1,830) and TSV 1860 München (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayreuth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; TSV 1860 München have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bayreuth win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 TSV 1860 München win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | TSV 1860 München 2-0 Bayreuth | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Bayreuth 4-2 TSV 1860 München | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Bayreuth 1-0 TSV 1860 München | 3. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2020 | TSV 1860 München 2-0 Bayreuth | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth on Apr 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayreuth sit 10th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 5 matches) and TSV 1860 München sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayreuth vs TSV 1860 München?
- The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is Bayreuth vs TSV 1860 München played?
- Bayreuth vs TSV 1860 München is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.