Illertissen vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Aubstadt?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Illertissen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Aubstadt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Illertissen 1-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Aubstadt 3-5 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Aubstadt 1-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Illertissen 3-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Aubstadt 0-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Illertissen 1-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Aubstadt on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Aubstadt?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Aubstadt.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Aubstadt played?
- Illertissen vs Aubstadt is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Bayern München IIvsNürnberg II
- Apr 17, 2027Augsburg IIvsBuchbach
- Apr 17, 2027BayreuthvsTSV 1860 München
- Apr 17, 2027MemmingenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Apr 17, 2027Wacker BurghausenvsEltersdorf
- Apr 17, 2027VilzingvsEichstätt
- Apr 17, 2027AnsbachvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Apr 17, 2027LandsbergvsSpVgg Unterhaching