Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spennymoor Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,872) and Morecambe (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spennymoor Town
4-3-3- 16Ben Pollock
- 11J. Mondal
- 36Cameron Salkeld
- 29M. Dolan
- 7M. Heaney
- 28Corey McKeown
- 3D. Jones
- 2O. Dyson
- 4M. Hancox
- 6Ben Beals
- 13Ryan Johnson
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chester(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southport(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Spennymoor Town wins, 1 draw, 0 Morecambe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe 1-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spennymoor Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spennymoor Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spennymoor Town sit 24th in National League - North (7 points from 11 matches) and Morecambe sit 19th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe played?
- Spennymoor Town vs Morecambe is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.