Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The New Eyrie, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Bedford Town (1,767) and Scarborough Athletic (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bedford Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bedford Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Scarborough Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bedford Town 1-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-2 Bedford Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bedford Town sit 20th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 20 | Bedford Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic played?
- Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The New Eyrie, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027MorecambevsMerthyr Town
- Feb 20, 2027ChestervsSouth Shields
- Feb 20, 2027SouthportvsKing's Lynn Town
- Feb 20, 2027Oxford CityvsMarine
- Feb 20, 2027HerefordvsMacclesfield
- Feb 20, 2027Spennymoor TownvsDarlington 1883
- Feb 20, 2027Worksop TownvsHarborough Town
- Feb 20, 2027Spalding UnitedvsHednesford Town