Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham
The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,834) and Darlington 1883 (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spennymoor Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Darlington 1883 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 0-4 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Darlington 1883 1-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spennymoor Town sit 17th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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