Match

Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham

Spennymoor TownDarlington 1883

The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,834) and Darlington 1883 (1,814).

Spennymoor Town win36 %
Draw25 %
Darlington 1883 win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spennymoor Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oxford City(home)1-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Scarborough Athletic(away)0-3National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Merthyr Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Morecambe(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Gateshead(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Darlington 1883
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Harborough Town(away)2-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chester(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Bedford Town(away)3-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Worksop Town(home)1-2National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Rotherham(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spennymoor Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Darlington 1883 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Spennymoor Town 0-4 Darlington 1883National League - North
Nov 22, 2025Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Mar 4, 2025Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883National League - North
Aug 31, 2024Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Mar 9, 2024Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883National League - North
Oct 28, 2023Darlington 1883 1-2 Spennymoor TownNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spennymoor Town1.21.4210/158/15
Darlington 18831.12.229/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spennymoor Town sit 17th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Spennymoor Town4112494
19Darlington 18834103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?
The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Spennymoor Town.
Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 played?
Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Spennymoor Town and Darlington 1883

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