Match

Chester vs South Shields: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire

ChesterSouth Shields

The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for South Shields. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chester vs South Shields?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Chester (1,926) and South Shields (1,937).

Chester win36 %
Draw28 %
South Shields win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; South Shields have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spalding United(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Darlington 1883(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)2-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chorley(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Crewe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
South Shields
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Morecambe(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Chorley(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Scarborough Athletic(away)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Gateshead(away)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chester win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 South Shields win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Chester 1-3 South ShieldsNational League - North
Aug 23, 2025South Shields 4-0 ChesterNational League - North
Feb 8, 2025South Shields 2-0 ChesterNational League - North
Sep 7, 2024Chester 1-0 South ShieldsNational League - North
Mar 23, 2024Chester 0-1 South ShieldsNational League - North
Nov 25, 2023South Shields 0-1 ChesterNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Chester vs South Shields on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chester1.30.3113/154/15
South Shields1.70.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chester44006112
5South Shields43105210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chester vs South Shields?
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for South Shields.
Where and when is Chester vs South Shields played?
Chester vs South Shields is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chester and South Shields

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