Chester vs South Shields: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for South Shields. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs South Shields?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Chester (1,924) and South Shields (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chester vs South Shields
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chester
4-3-3- 9J. Hazel
- 11B. Waters
- 17C. Woods
- 12D. Ward
- 24C. Murphy
- 4D. Weeks
- 3Nathan Woodthorpe
- 5J. Griffin
- 33Samuel Reed
- 15Isaac Burgess
- 1Luke Hewitson
South Shields
4-3-3- 21C. Kelly
- 9P. Blackett
- 4Cain Sykes
- 19C. Scott
- 10W. Jenkins
- 30D. Carson
- 2R. Tinkler
- 5D. Morse
- 3Oliver Bainbridge
- 29Daniel Dodds
- 1J. Sheik
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; South Shields have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lower Breck(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 3-4 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 4-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chester wins, 0 draws, 4 South Shields wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Chester 1-3 South Shields | National League - North |
| Aug 23, 2025 | South Shields 4-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Feb 8, 2025 | South Shields 2-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Chester 1-0 South Shields | National League - North |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Chester 0-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2023 | South Shields 0-1 Chester | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chester vs South Shields on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| South Shields | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 5th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and South Shields sit 6th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
A question about Chester vs South Shields?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs South Shields?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for South Shields.
- Where and when is Chester vs South Shields played?
- Chester vs South Shields is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027MorecambevsMerthyr Town
- Feb 20, 2027SouthportvsKing's Lynn Town
- Feb 20, 2027Oxford CityvsMarine
- Feb 20, 2027HerefordvsMacclesfield
- Feb 20, 2027Spennymoor TownvsDarlington 1883
- Feb 20, 2027Worksop TownvsHarborough Town
- Feb 20, 2027Bedford TownvsScarborough Athletic
- Feb 20, 2027Spalding UnitedvsHednesford Town