Chester vs South Shields: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for South Shields. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs South Shields?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Chester (1,926) and South Shields (1,937).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; South Shields have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chester win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 South Shields win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Chester 1-3 South Shields | National League - North |
| Aug 23, 2025 | South Shields 4-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Feb 8, 2025 | South Shields 2-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Chester 1-0 South Shields | National League - North |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Chester 0-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2023 | South Shields 0-1 Chester | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chester vs South Shields on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs South Shields?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for South Shields.
- Where and when is Chester vs South Shields played?
- Chester vs South Shields is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027MorecambevsMerthyr Town
- Feb 20, 2027SouthportvsKing's Lynn Town
- Feb 20, 2027Oxford CityvsMarine
- Feb 20, 2027HerefordvsMacclesfield
- Feb 20, 2027Spennymoor TownvsDarlington 1883
- Feb 20, 2027Worksop TownvsHarborough Town
- Feb 20, 2027Bedford TownvsScarborough Athletic
- Feb 20, 2027Spalding UnitedvsHednesford Town