Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Land Stadium, Scarborough, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Scarborough Athletic (1,834) and Bedford Town (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scarborough Athletic have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bedford Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Scarborough Athletic win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bedford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bedford Town 1-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-2 Bedford Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Bedford Town vs Scarborough Athletic on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bedford Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scarborough Athletic sit 8th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Bedford Town sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 20 | Bedford Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town played?
- Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Land Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.