Beira-Mar vs Guarda: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
The Footlab AI model makes Beira-Mar the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Guarda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beira-Mar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beira-Mar vs Guarda?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Beira-Mar (1,918) and Guarda (1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beira-Mar vs Guarda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beira-Mar
Not enough data to predict the Beira-Mar lineup.
Guarda
4-3-3- DDeivison
- SSérgio Assis Capitango Fernando Santos
- 22Daniel Semedo
- 83Tiago Luís
- TT. Nang
- IIsnaba Ioncana
- HHugo Alexandre Bulak Gavino
- 21Rogério Fernandes
- GG. Benjumea
- RRafael Tavares
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beira-Mar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Guarda have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Académico do Fundão(away) | 6-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Beira-Mar win, 0 draws, 1 Guarda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Guarda 0-1 Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Beira-Mar 0-2 Guarda | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Beira-Mar score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guarda score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beira-Mar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Guarda | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beira-Mar sit 10th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (3 points from 4 matches) and Guarda sit 13th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Guarda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Beira-Mar vs Guarda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beira-Mar vs Guarda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beira-Mar the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Guarda.
- Where and when is Beira-Mar vs Guarda played?
- Beira-Mar vs Guarda is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.