Alpendorada vs União Lamas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, Alpendurada e Matos
The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for União Lamas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alpendorada wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alpendorada vs União Lamas?
On Elo ratings, Alpendorada has 1,847 points and União Lamas 1,796.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alpendorada vs União Lamas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 12Fábio Rodrigo
- 29R. Teixeira
- 45Pauleta
- 17S. Njoh
- 36D. Parini
- 25Danny
- 23Pepe
- 14Marcos Valente
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 13R. Gramoso
- 24C. Silva
União Lamas
4-3-3- 11Joaquim Rodrigues
- 9G. Matos Monteiro
- 87V. Andrade
- 13L. Salgado
- 22R. Braga
- 6F. Melo
- 2W. Rosero
- 44D. Araujo
- 5L. P. Pinto
- 18Joao
- 1F. Enes Guimaraes
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 06:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alpendorada have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; União Lamas have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Guarda(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Alpendorada win, 2 draws, 1 União Lamas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | União Lamas 1-0 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Alpendorada 2-1 União Lamas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 9, 2025 | União Lamas 0-0 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Alpendorada 2-2 União Lamas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: União Lamas vs Alpendorada on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alpendorada score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; União Lamas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpendorada | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| União Lamas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alpendorada sit 12th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (5 points from 7 matches) and União Lamas sit 8th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | União Lamas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Alpendorada vs União Lamas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alpendorada vs União Lamas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for União Lamas.
- Where and when is Alpendorada vs União Lamas played?
- Alpendorada vs União Lamas is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.