Match

Castro Daire vs Cinfães: prediction and stats

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, Castro Daire

Castro DaireCinfães

The Footlab AI model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Cinfães. The most likely score is 0-0. If Castro Daire wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Castro Daire vs Cinfães?

On Elo ratings, Castro Daire has 1,840 points and Cinfães 1,941.

37%33%30%
Castro Daire winDrawCinfães win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Castro Daire vs Cinfães

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Castro Daire

4-3-3
  1. MMarcel
  2. JJoão Rianço
  3. PPaulo Rodrigues
  1. TTiago Almeida
  2. FFred Lopes
  3. DDiogo
  1. FFilipe Soares
  2. PPica
  3. TTomás César
  4. RRui Pinto
  1. TTomás Correia

Cinfães

Not enough data to predict the Cinfães lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro Daire have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cinfães have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Castro Daire
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Salgueiros(home)0-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 19, 2026Portimonense(home)0-1Taça de Portugal
Sep 13, 2026Beira-Mar(away)1-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 22, 2026Sousense(away)1-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 16, 2026Ovarense(home)0-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Cinfães
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Alpendorada(home)0-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 20, 2026Leixoes(home)0-4Taça de Portugal
Sep 13, 2026Salgueiros(away)0-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 6, 2026Beira-Mar(home)2-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 30, 2026Espinho(home)1-0Taça de Portugal

How many goals should we expect?

Castro Daire score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cinfães score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Castro Daire1.01.256/155/15
Cinfães1.51.075/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Castro Daire sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (7 points from 4 matches) and Cinfães sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Castro Daire4211537
8Cinfães4121655

A question about Castro Daire vs Cinfães?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Castro Daire vs Cinfães?
The Footlab AI model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Cinfães.
Where and when is Castro Daire vs Cinfães played?
Castro Daire vs Cinfães is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Castro Daire and Cinfães

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