Salgueiros vs Florgrade: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, Porto
The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiros the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Florgrade. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Salgueiros (1,952) and Florgrade (1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salgueiros vs Florgrade
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salgueiros
Not enough data to predict the Salgueiros lineup.
Florgrade
Not enough data to predict the Florgrade lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgueiros have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Florgrade have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cinfães(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Machico(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Salgueiros wins, 1 draw, 1 Florgrade win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Salgueiros 2-0 Florgrade | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Florgrade 1-1 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Florgrade 1-0 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Salgueiros 1-0 Florgrade | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Salgueiros vs Florgrade on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salgueiros score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Florgrade score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgueiros | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Florgrade | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salgueiros sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (6 points from 4 matches) and Florgrade sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiros the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Florgrade.
- Where and when is Salgueiros vs Florgrade played?
- Salgueiros vs Florgrade is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.