Match

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Nahariya, Nahariya

Beitar NahariyaHapoel Beit Shean

The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Beitar Nahariya (1,656) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).

Beitar Nahariya win37 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Beit Shean win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Beitar Nahariya have 9 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beitar Nahariya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2024Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home)4-0State Cup
Jan 9, 2024Dimona(home)1-6State Cup
Dec 26, 2023Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)1-0State Cup
Sep 18, 2023Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)4-2State Cup
Sep 13, 2023Ahli Tamra(home)3-1State Cup
Hapoel Beit Shean
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Tira(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)3-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-2Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 14; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beitar Nahariya2.22.467/1410/14
Hapoel Beit Shean1.30.776/156/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886282732

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
Where and when is Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Nahariya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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