Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660).

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win42 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Tira(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	2-3	Liga Alef

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1.3	1.1	6	7/15	7/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	30	23	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.