Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657) and Tzeirey Tamra (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tzeirey Tamra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-1 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Beit Shean
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Oct 24, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsIroni Nesher
- Oct 24, 2026TiravsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Oct 24, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan