Tira vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Tira starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tira win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 2-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tira sit 2nd in Liga Alef (42 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Tira vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Beit Shean
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Oct 24, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsIroni Nesher
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Oct 24, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 24, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsTzeirey Tamra
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan