Match

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Nahariya, Nahariya

Beitar NahariyaHapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Beitar Nahariya (1,656) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,659).

Beitar Nahariya win38 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Nazareth Illit win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Beitar Nahariya have 9 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beitar Nahariya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2024Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home)4-0State Cup
Jan 9, 2024Dimona(home)1-6State Cup
Dec 26, 2023Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)1-0State Cup
Sep 18, 2023Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)4-2State Cup
Sep 13, 2023Ahli Tamra(home)3-1State Cup
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 14; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beitar Nahariya2.22.467/1410/14
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Nahariya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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