Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Yam Synthetic, Kiryat Yam
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1-3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd in Liga Alef (38 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Yam Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Feb 27, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Feb 27, 2027TiravsHapoel Beit Shean
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTzeirey Tamra
- Feb 27, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsIroni Nesher