Match

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija

Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (1,515) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win28 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 20, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home)0-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)2-1Liga Alef
Jan 26, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)1-3Liga Alef
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)0-2Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)2-3Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)4-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 2, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-3 Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on Jan 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0.91.738/158/15
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1.41.747/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th in Liga Alef (17 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed214512163617
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511303711

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
Where and when is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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