Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (1,515) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on Jan 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th in Liga Alef (17 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Feb 27, 2027TiravsHapoel Beit Shean
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTzeirey Tamra
- Feb 27, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Feb 27, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Feb 27, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsIroni Nesher