Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Beitar Nahariya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Nahariya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Beitar Nahariya?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660) and Beitar Nahariya (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Beitar Nahariya have 9, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 11, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home) | 4-0 | State Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Dimona(home) | 1-6 | State Cup |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-0 | State Cup |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ahli Tamra(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Beitar Nahariya | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 7/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Beitar Nahariya?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Nahariya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Beitar Nahariya played?
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Beitar Nahariya is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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