Beitar Nahariya vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Nahariya, Nahariya
The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Nahariya vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Beitar Nahariya (1,656) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Beitar Nahariya have 9 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home) | 4-0 | State Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Dimona(home) | 1-6 | State Cup |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-0 | State Cup |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ahli Tamra(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 14; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Nahariya | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 7/14 | 10/14 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Nahariya vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Beitar Nahariya vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Beitar Nahariya vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Nahariya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 5, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsIroni Nesher
- Dec 5, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 5, 2026TiravsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 5, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsTzeirey Tamra
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Beit Shean