Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Tira starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tira have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tira 2-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1-1 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-1 Tira | State Cup |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-2 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Tira 2-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tira vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Tira sit 2nd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tira played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tira is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed