Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Beitar Nahariya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Beitar Nahariya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Beitar Nahariya?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Beitar Nahariya (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Beitar Nahariya have 9, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home) | 4-0 | State Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Dimona(home) | 1-6 | State Cup |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-0 | State Cup |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ahli Tamra(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Beitar Nahariya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2023 | Beitar Nahariya 4-2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Sep 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Beitar Nahariya | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 7/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Beitar Nahariya?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Beitar Nahariya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Beitar Nahariya played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Beitar Nahariya is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsTira