Tira vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tira vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Tira (1,785) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tira win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Tira 0-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 4-1 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Tira 4-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| May 15, 2024 | Tira 1-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Tira 2-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tira vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tira sit 2nd in Liga Alef (42 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tira vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
- Where and when is Tira vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Tira vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 5, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsIroni Nesher
- Dec 5, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 5, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsTzeirey Tamra
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Beit Shean