Türkiye vs Belgium: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, İzmir
The Footlab AI model makes Belgium the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Türkiye. The most likely score is 1-1. If Belgium wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?
Belgium starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,645).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Türkiye vs Belgium
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Türkiye
5-4-1- 10A. Güler
- 16İ. Yüksek
- 5S. Özcan
- 18O. Aydın
- 10İ. Kahveci
- 2Z. Çelik
- 14A. Bardakcı
- 20F. Kadıoğlu
- 3M. Demiral
- 15O. Kabak
- 1U. Çakır
Belgium
4-2-3-1- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 19Diego Moreira
- 20H. Vanaken
- 14D. Lukebakio
- 7K. De Bruyne
- 8Y. Tielemans
- 4B. Mechele
- 21T. Castagne
- 15N. Ngoy
- 18J. Seys
- 1S. Lammens
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Türkiye have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Belgium have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Italy(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Italy(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | France(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | USA(home) | 3-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | France(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Türkiye(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | France(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Italy(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Türkiye wins, 0 draws, 1 Belgium win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Belgium 3-0 Türkiye | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Türkiye score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Belgium | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Türkiye sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (0 points from 4 matches) and Belgium sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
A question about Türkiye vs Belgium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Türkiye vs Belgium?
- The Footlab AI model makes Belgium the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Türkiye.
- Where and when is Türkiye vs Belgium played?
- Türkiye vs Belgium is played on November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.