Benevento vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benevento wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benevento vs Ascoli?
On Elo ratings, Benevento has 1,931 points and Ascoli 1,907.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benevento vs Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benevento
4-1-3-2- 9F. Salvemini
- 29D. Okereke
- 11D. Lamesta
- 8M. Maita
- 6A. Siatounis
- 28C. Kouan
- 14S. Scognamillo
- 23P. Saio
- 77E. Pierozzi
- 20P. Beruatto
- 26G. Vannucchi
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benevento have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ascoli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Benevento wins, 2 draws, 2 Ascoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli 1-0 Benevento | Serie B |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Ascoli 0-0 Benevento | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Benevento 1-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| May 13, 2022 | Ascoli 0-1 Benevento | Serie B |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Benevento 0-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Ascoli 0-2 Benevento | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Benevento score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benevento sit 8th in Serie B (10 points from 6 matches) and Ascoli sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Benevento vs Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Benevento vs Ascoli played?
- Benevento vs Ascoli is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.