Cremonese vs Arezzo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
The Footlab model makes Cremonese the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arezzo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cremonese vs Arezzo?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Cremonese (1,899) and Arezzo (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cremonese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arezzo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Cremonese win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arezzo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Arezzo 0-1 Cremonese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Cremonese 3-2 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cremonese score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arezzo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Arezzo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cremonese sit 18th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Arezzo sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cremonese vs Arezzo?
- The Footlab model makes Cremonese the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arezzo.
- Where and when is Cremonese vs Arezzo played?
- Cremonese vs Arezzo is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Zini, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.