Cesena vs Sudtirol: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cesena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cesena vs Sudtirol?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Cesena (1,734) and Sudtirol (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cesena vs Sudtirol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 27M. Dalla Vecchia
- 80A. Fiori
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 32E. Bohinen
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 7G. Frabotta
- 1A. Siano
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Sudtirol have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cesena wins, 4 draws, 0 Sudtirol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cesena 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sudtirol 0-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sudtirol 1-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cesena 1-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Sudtirol 1-1 Cesena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Cesena 0-0 Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cesena sit 11th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Sudtirol sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Cesena vs Sudtirol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Sudtirol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Cesena vs Sudtirol played?
- Cesena vs Sudtirol is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.