Benfica B vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal
The Footlab model makes Amarante the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Benfica B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica B vs Amarante?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Benfica B (1,949) and Amarante (1,992).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica B have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Amarante have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica B score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica B sit 4th in Segunda Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Benfica B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Amarante | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica B vs Amarante?
- The Footlab model makes Amarante the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Benfica B.
- Where and when is Benfica B vs Amarante played?
- Benfica B vs Amarante is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Caixa Futebol Campus, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.