Lusitânia Lourosa vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Lusitânia FC, Lourosa
The Footlab model makes Academica the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lusitânia Lourosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Academica?
Academica starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitânia Lourosa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Academica have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Academica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Academica 1-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Liga 3 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 Academica | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Academica vs Lusitânia Lourosa on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Academica | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd in Segunda Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Academica sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Academica?
- The Footlab model makes Academica the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lusitânia Lourosa.
- Where and when is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Academica played?
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Academica is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.