Amarante vs Leixoes: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Amarante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leixoes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amarante vs Leixoes?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Amarante (2,063) and Leixoes (2,042).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amarante vs Leixoes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Leixoes
4-1-3-2- 7Salvador Agra
- 6A. Balde
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo
- 8Miguel Sousa
- 10Rafael Barbosa
- 80João Assunção
- 4Matheus Costa
- 77Paulinho
- 15Simãozinho
- 63H. Faria
- 51I. Stefanović
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amarante have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leixoes have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Amarante wins, 0 draws, 3 Leixoes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes 3-1 Amarante | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Amarante 1-2 Leixoes | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Leixoes 3-1 Amarante | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leixoes score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leixoes | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amarante sit 16th in Segunda Liga (5 points from 7 matches) and Leixoes sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Amarante vs Leixoes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amarante vs Leixoes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Amarante.
- Where and when is Amarante vs Leixoes played?
- Amarante vs Leixoes is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.