Leixoes vs Portimonense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos
The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leixoes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,018 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leixoes vs Portimonense?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Leixoes (1,951) and Portimonense (1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leixoes vs Portimonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leixoes
4-1-3-2- 7Salvador Agra
- 6A. Balde
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo
- 8Miguel Sousa
- 10Rafael Barbosa
- 80João Assunção
- 63H. Faria
- 4Matheus Costa
- 77Paulinho
- 30Serif Nhaga
- 51I. Stefanović
Portimonense
3-4-3- 7Danio Djassi
- 2Edney
- 10S. Nakajima
- 15Xavier
- 8João Casimiro
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 6S. Neves
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 1Dudu
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leixoes have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Portimonense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leixoes wins, 1 draw, 1 Portimonense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Portimonense 0-2 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Leixoes 2-0 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Portimonense 1-2 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Portimonense 2-1 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Leixoes 3-0 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: Portimonense vs Leixoes on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leixoes score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portimonense score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Portimonense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leixoes sit 10th in Segunda Liga (10 points from 7 matches) and Portimonense sit 11th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Leixoes vs Portimonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leixoes vs Portimonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Leixoes vs Portimonense played?
- Leixoes vs Portimonense is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Mar, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.