Match

Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932: prediction and stats

Segunda LigaMatchday 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves

ChavesFelgueiras 1932

The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Felgueiras 1932. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Chaves (1,927) and Felgueiras 1932 (1,969).

43%27%30%
Chaves winDrawFelgueiras 1932 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chaves

4-3-3
  1. 10André Rodrigues
  2. 30Costinha
  3. 17Roberto
  1. 19Gilberto García
  2. 42Aílson Tavares
  3. 16D. Yearwood
  1. 23Léo Alabá
  2. 34Ricardo Alves
  3. 7R. Esajas
  4. 14N. Araújo
  1. 1João Valido

Felgueiras 1932

3-5-2
  1. 19Lucas da Costa Duarte
  2. 9Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite
  1. 77Francisco França
  2. 10Michel Costa
  3. 20Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro
  4. 6Henrique Martins
  5. 8Landinho
  1. 23Afonso de Freitas
  2. 70B. Ouacharaf
  3. 3João Pinto
  1. 14Mateus Pasinato

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Felgueiras 1932 have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chaves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Penafiel(home)2-3Segunda Liga
Oct 31, 2026Benfica B(away)1-3Segunda Liga
Oct 23, 2026Vizela(home)2-1Segunda Liga
Oct 16, 2026Os Marialvas(home)2-1Taça de Portugal
Oct 11, 2026Lusitânia Lourosa(away)1-1Segunda Liga
Felgueiras 1932
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 15, 2026Amarante(away)1-1Segunda Liga
Nov 7, 2026Leixoes(home)3-3Segunda Liga
Nov 1, 2026Tondela(away)2-3Segunda Liga
Oct 25, 2026Lusitânia Lourosa(home)2-2Segunda Liga
Oct 18, 2026Fafe(home)1-0Taça de Portugal

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chaves wins, 1 draw, 3 Felgueiras 1932 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Felgueiras 1932 2-1 ChavesSegunda Liga
Jan 31, 2026Felgueiras 1932 1-0 ChavesSegunda Liga
Aug 22, 2025Chaves 1-1 Felgueiras 1932Segunda Liga
Feb 15, 2025Chaves 2-0 Felgueiras 1932Segunda Liga
Sep 14, 2024Felgueiras 1932 1-2 ChavesSegunda Liga
Jul 20, 2024Felgueiras 1932 1-0 ChavesFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chaves score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chaves1.32.0111/1511/15
Felgueiras 19321.11.149/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chaves sit 16th in Segunda Liga (8 points from 10 matches) and Felgueiras 1932 sit 15th (9 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Felgueiras 19321116413169
16Chaves1022611218

A question about Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Felgueiras 1932.
Where and when is Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932 played?
Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932 is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, in the Segunda Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chaves and Felgueiras 1932