Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C · Matchday 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro, Castelo Branco
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica Castelo Branco the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Fazendense. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense?
Benfica Castelo Branco starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica Castelo Branco
4-3-3- 85N. Gaspar
- 16A. Vagarinho
- 11Sacra
- 23G. Isaias
- 6David Peres
- 21J. Cruz
- 2Pedro Vieira
- 4P. Correia
- 15F. Celestino
- 22D. Preto
- 1D. Romana
Fazendense
Not enough data to predict the Fazendense lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica Castelo Branco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fazendense have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-6 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fazendense score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fazendense | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (10 points from 7 matches) and Fazendense sit 14th (1 point from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
A question about Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica Castelo Branco the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Fazendense.
- Where and when is Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense played?
- Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.