Benfica vs Chelsea: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 27, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
Full time
What was the result of Benfica vs Chelsea?
Chelsea won 0-1 on March 27, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 75′Salomon Armand Magloire KalouChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chelsea have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | Olhanense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2012 | Beira-Mar(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 11, 2012 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 6, 2012 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 2, 2012 | FC Porto(home) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2012 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 18, 2012 | Leicester(home) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
| Mar 14, 2012 | Napoli(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Stoke City(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Chelsea | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica sit 24th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Chelsea sit 6th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy