Chelsea vs Tottenham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On Elo ratings, Chelsea has 2,255 points and Tottenham 2,167.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelsea vs Tottenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelsea
3-4-2-1- 9João Pedro
- 10C. Palmer
- 17M. Rogers
- 7Pedro Neto
- 45R. Lavia
- 21J. Hato
- 29Pep Chavarría
- 3W. Fofana
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 1E. Martínez
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 30R. Bentancur
- 22Omar Marmoush
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 18Mateus Fernandes
- 6J. van Hecke
- 37M. van de Ven
- 3A. Robertson
- 23Pedro Porro
- 31A. Kinský
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tottenham have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Chelsea wins, 0 draws, 1 Tottenham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chelsea 1-2 Tottenham | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2026 | Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Tottenham 3-4 Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 2, 2024 | Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 10th in Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and Tottenham sit 20th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Chelsea vs Tottenham played?
- Chelsea vs Tottenham is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stamford Bridge, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.