Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Omonia Nicosia. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Benfica is a heavy favourite: 2,466 Elo points against 2,103, a 363-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Omonia Nicosia
4-2-3-1- 99L. Diony
- 74P. Andreou
- 11Ewandro
- 14M. Marić
- 7J. Montnor
- 22M. Tankovic
- 29J. Balkovec
- 5S. Coulibaly
- 93J. Duverne
- 37Ľ. Šatka
- 40Fabiano
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 10H. Sudakov
- 36João Palhinha
- 8F. Aursnes
- 27Rafa
- 25G. Prestianni
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 2C. Lenglet
- 26S. Dahl
- 58Daniel Banjaqui
- 24Samuel Soares
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Nicosia have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Benfica have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aris(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Nicosia score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 3.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Benfica | 3.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Nicosia sit 15th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Benfica sit 7th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
A question about Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Omonia Nicosia.
- Where and when is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica played?
- Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.